The nervousness surrounding artificial intelligence in the stock market got no confirmation from Jensen Huang, as Nvidia's top executive calls the AI wave only the beginning of a new industrial revolution and envisions a three- to four-trillion-dollar infrastructure market toward the end of the decade. His optimism does clash with the cool reception on Wall Street, as the outlook for the current quarter, while above consensus, did not surprise enough to justify the recent share price violence.
The chip designer reckons third-quarter sales of $54 billion with a range of two percent, while in the previous quarter $46.74 billion came in, and especially the data center business remained the focus. Uncertainty about China weighs into the estimate, as Nvidia assumes zero sales of the H20 chip in that country, although if geopolitics relaxes, an additional two to five billion dollars could still be added. Meanwhile, interest outside China appears vital, including a single $650 million order for H20, and Nvidia announced another $60 billion in additional share repurchases.
The company continues to float on large buyers among hyperscalers and governments, with the top financial woman pointing to an expected revenue of twenty billion dollars from so-called sovereign-AI projects this year. Huang keeps the horizon even wider, estimating that cloud and enterprise customers are already heading toward six hundred billion dollars in AI-related spending this year, with the total investment picture rising to three to four trillion dollars by 2030. At the same time, analysts see the first signs that major cloud players are timing their spending a bit more precisely now that revenues from AI applications are not immediately visible everywhere.
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